FA Siauliai II 1-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.82/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.52
+28% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Hegelmann II 4-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
05.05.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-1 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II and Hegelmann II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FA Siauliai II and 2.50 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II?

FA Siauliai II 1-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 36%, draw 22%, Hegelmann II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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