Lietava Jonava 1-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 4-1 HT 2-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
22.04.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-2 HT 0-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
15.10.2021 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-0
AWAY Panevezys II
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava squeezed past Panevezys II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lietava Jonava as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 55% of the ball to Panevezys II's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panevezys II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.33 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Panevezys II?

Lietava Jonava 1-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 43%, draw 24%, Panevezys II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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