Babrungas 3-2 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.45
+32% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nevezis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 3-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
17.05.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
29.09.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
12.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
09.09.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
13.05.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas squeezed past Nevezis 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Babrungas made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Babrungas and 1.67 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Nevezis?

Babrungas 3-2 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 39%, draw 24%, Nevezis 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5
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