Nevezis 3-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

Nevezis
3-2
Babrungas
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Nevezis vs Babrungas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nevezis v Babrungas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +29%
1.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.91
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Nevezis vs Babrungas Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Babrungas
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
29.09.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
12.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
09.09.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
13.05.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over Babrungas 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Nevezis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nevezis and 1.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Babrungas?

Nevezis 3-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 37%, draw 26%, Babrungas 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Under 2.5
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