Hegelmann II 0-2 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.14/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.65
+37% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
19.05.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
0-2
AWAY Ekranas
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas got the better of Hegelmann II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 58% of the ball to Ekranas's 42%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?

Hegelmann II 0-2 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 41%, draw 26%, Ekranas 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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