Be1 NFA 5-0 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-15.0pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.0pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.40/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.76
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +28%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Minija
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
29.07.2023 Minija Minija 2-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
25.04.2023 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LITK
11.03.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-2 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
11.09.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
14.05.2022 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
5-0
AWAY Minija
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA swept aside Minija 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 72% of the ball to Minija's 28%, shots finished 17-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.00 for Minija.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Minija?

Be1 NFA 5-0 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 63%, draw 22%, Minija 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
4 Oct 2024
16:30 Nevezis vs Babrungas Analysis →
18:00 Hegelmann II vs Ekranas Analysis →