Minija 1-1 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
6.35
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
46%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+12.4pp
28%
Draw
19%
+9.2pp
46%
Away Win
68%
-21.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 72%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -15%
1.12/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.88
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Minija Minija 2-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
25.04.2023 Minija Minija 0-2 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LITK
11.03.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-2 HT 1-1 Minija Minija LIT1
11.09.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
14.05.2022 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
1-1
AWAY Be1 NFA
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Minija vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija and Be1 NFA shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Minija had 44% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 56%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minija and 1.40 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Minija vs Be1 NFA?

Minija 1-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Minija 25%, draw 28%, Be1 NFA 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Be1 NFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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