TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
14%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +80%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
30.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
01.10.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-3
AWAY FA Siauliai
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai got the better of TransINVEST Vilnius 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 44% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 56%, shots finished 16-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.50 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 33%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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