BFA 2-2 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
62%
-17.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 20%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.92/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.86
+10% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
467 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FK BANGA II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2022 FK BANGA II 3-1 HT 3-0 BFA BFA LIT1
03.07.2022 BFA BFA 3-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
25.09.2021 FK BANGA II 1-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
2-2
AWAY FK BANGA II
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFA vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and FK BANGA II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, BFA had 61% of the ball to FK BANGA II's 39%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK BANGA II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BFA and 1.33 for FK BANGA II.

What was the final score of BFA vs FK BANGA II?

BFA 2-2 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BFA 44%, draw 28%, FK BANGA II 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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