FK Panevezys 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -23%
1.67/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.09
+18% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-4 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-2
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen got the better of FK Panevezys 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hegelmann Litauen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 53% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.50 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Panevezys 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 31%, draw 35%, Hegelmann Litauen 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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