Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.07
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-4 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
02.09.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen got the better of FK Panevezys 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Hegelmann Litauen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 37%, draw 29%, FK Panevezys 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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