30/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Atmosfera vs FK Riteriai Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
12%
18%
Draw
17%
56%
Away Win
70%
45%
Under 2.5
35%
55%
Over 2.5
65%
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
49%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atmosfera v FK Riteriai — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Atmosfera
EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Riteriai
EU Bookmakers 75%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
1.19/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.01/0.36
+23%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+60%
/
+150%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
260 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
432 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Atmosfera vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FK Riteriai edged past Atmosfera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Atmosfera vs FK Riteriai?
Atmosfera 1-2 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs FK Riteriai?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 27%, draw 18%, FK Riteriai 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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LIT1
More Lithuania - 1st Division
30 Mar 2024