BFA 3-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.96
+22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Babrungas
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
07.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 4-1 HT 2-0 BFA BFA LIT1
09.11.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 2-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
18.06.2022 BFA BFA 0-3 HT 0-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
24.10.2021 Babrungas Babrungas 1-3 HT 0-2 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
3-2
AWAY Babrungas
Total Shots 24
Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 4
POST-MATCH BFA vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA nicked a narrow win over Babrungas 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day BFA made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for BFA and 2.40 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of BFA vs Babrungas?

BFA 3-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BFA 40%, draw 24%, Babrungas 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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