Hegelmann II 4-0 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.2pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 36%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.06
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-1 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
4-0
AWAY FA Siauliai II
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II ran out comfortable winners over FA Siauliai II 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 54% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 46%, shots finished 21-7.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs FA Siauliai II?

Hegelmann II 4-0 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 34%, draw 25%, FA Siauliai II 41%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FA Siauliai II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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