Tauras Taurage 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.41/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.53
+56% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda edged past Tauras Taurage 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tauras Taurage at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Tauras Taurage 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 41%, draw 28%, Neptüna Klaipeda 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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