Atmosfera 2-3 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 23%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.13
-18% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
24 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-5 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
12.08.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II edged past Atmosfera 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atmosfera had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Atmosfera and 1.50 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II?

Atmosfera 2-3 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 53%, draw 26%, FA Siauliai II 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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