FK Riteriai 5-1 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
79%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
2.39/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.92
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
466 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Garliava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Garliava Garliava 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
5-1
AWAY Garliava
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai swept aside Garliava 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 61% of the ball to Garliava's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Garliava?

FK Riteriai 5-1 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 66%, draw 19%, Garliava 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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