Tauras Taurage 1-4 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.65/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.36
+61% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tauras Taurage
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
09.05.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-1 HT 1-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
05.10.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
17.05.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda swept aside Tauras Taurage 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tauras Taurage at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tauras Taurage and 1.33 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Tauras Taurage 1-4 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 54%, draw 20%, Neptüna Klaipeda 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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