Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.67/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.13
+29% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
340 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
03.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Minija Minija LIT1
08.03.2024 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
15.09.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
21.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-0 HT 3-0 Minija Minija LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-2
AWAY Minija
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 57% of the ball to Minija's 43%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.40 for Minija.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 26%, draw 28%, Minija 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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