Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
32%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
31%
+8.7pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.1pp
32%
Away Win
49%
-16.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.99/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/1.31
+53% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Minija
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
15.09.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
21.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-0 HT 3-0 Minija Minija LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2-1
AWAY Minija
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II edged past Minija 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Kauno Zalgiris II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 45% of the ball to Minija's 55%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.33 for Minija.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 40%, draw 28%, Minija 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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