FK BANGA II 0-4 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 58%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.39/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.15
+24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK BANGA II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 0-1 HT 0-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
30.09.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
28.05.2022 FK BANGA II 0-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH FK BANGA II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis swept aside FK BANGA II 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK BANGA II and 1.00 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of FK BANGA II vs Nevezis?

FK BANGA II 0-4 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK BANGA II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FK BANGA II 27%, draw 26%, Nevezis 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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