Nevezis 0-1 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.38
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY FK BANGA II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
28.05.2022 FK BANGA II 0-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK BANGA II nicked a narrow win over Nevezis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Nevezis carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nevezis and 0.00 for FK BANGA II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs FK BANGA II?

Nevezis 0-1 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 63%, draw 21%, FK BANGA II 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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