Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.97/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.77
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -41%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
514 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-2 HT 3-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
06.07.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
25.09.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-3 HT 3-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda beat Atmosfera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 2.33 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera?

Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 58%, draw 22%, Atmosfera 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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