Minija 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 28%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.72/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+72% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
21.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-0 HT 3-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II edged past Minija 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Minija at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Minija and 2.50 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Minija 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Minija 48%, draw 23%, Kauno Zalgiris II 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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