Atmosfera 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 61%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.89/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.68
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
12.11.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-2 HT 3-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
06.07.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
25.09.2021 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-3 HT 3-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-0
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atmosfera had 31% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 69%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Atmosfera and 2.75 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Atmosfera 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 28%, draw 21%, Neptüna Klaipeda 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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