Minija 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.1pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.45
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 Minija Minija LIT1
08.03.2024 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
15.09.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
21.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-0 HT 3-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Minija and 2.25 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Minija 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Minija 41%, draw 27%, Kauno Zalgiris II 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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