Atmosfera 2-4 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.96
-17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +67%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.06.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.10.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.05.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA beat Atmosfera 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Atmosfera and 1.75 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA?

Atmosfera 2-4 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 42%, draw 23%, Be1 NFA 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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