Atmosfera 1-0 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-9.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -7%
1.14/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.66
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +57%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.10.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.05.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-0
AWAY Be1 NFA
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera squeezed past Be1 NFA 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atmosfera had 35% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 65%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Atmosfera and 2.33 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA?

Atmosfera 1-0 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 21%, draw 27%, Be1 NFA 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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