BFA 1-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

BFA
1-1 HT 0-0
Minija
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.58/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.33
+71% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Minija
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
28.10.2023 BFA BFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
10.06.2023 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
30.09.2022 BFA BFA 2-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
10.08.2022 Minija Minija 3-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
1-1
AWAY Minija
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH BFA vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and Minija shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, BFA had 36% of the ball to Minija's 64%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for BFA and 1.40 for Minija.

What was the final score of BFA vs Minija?

BFA 1-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split BFA 33%, draw 33%, Minija 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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