17/08/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
FK BANGA II vs FK Riteriai Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
16%
Draw
10%
69%
Away Win
84%
47%
Under 2.5
30%
53%
Over 2.5
70%
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
56%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK BANGA II v FK Riteriai — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FK BANGA II
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Riteriai
EU Bookmakers 90%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.00/3.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.24/0.63
-100%
/
-42%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
+28%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
261 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
533 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
3.5
FK BANGA II vs FK Riteriai Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
FK BANGA II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
FK Riteriai
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
38%
Ball Possession
62%
14
Total Shots
22
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
FK BANGA II vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FK Riteriai saw off FK BANGA II 3-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of FK BANGA II vs FK Riteriai?
FK BANGA II 1-3 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK BANGA II vs FK Riteriai?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FK BANGA II 15%, draw 16%, FK Riteriai 69%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Lithuania - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024