Panevezys II 1-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 57%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.17/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.02
+2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
28.08.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
07.04.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
14.10.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-2 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
12.06.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-4 HT 0-3 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II and Nevezis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Panevezys II and 1.20 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Nevezis?

Panevezys II 1-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 22%, draw 31%, Nevezis 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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