Be1 NFA 3-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.92/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.40
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.10.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.05.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA cruised past Atmosfera 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?

Be1 NFA 3-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 59%, draw 25%, Atmosfera 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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