Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+11.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
0.56/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.69
-42% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +54%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
13.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
24.01.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai HAZ
03.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius beat Banga Gargzdai 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 3.00 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 22%, draw 22%, Zalgiris Vilnius 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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