Suduva 1-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -23%
1.24/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.35
-7% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
13.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
23.09.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-1 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
16.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.05.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
15.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suduva
1-3
AWAY FK Panevezys
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suduva vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys got the better of Suduva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day FK Panevezys made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suduva had 44% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 56%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Suduva and 1.00 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Suduva 1-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Suduva 36%, draw 29%, FK Panevezys 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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