Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.95/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.32
+17% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-0D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
02.05.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-0
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris beat TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 63% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 37%, shots finished 24-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 2.00 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 48%, draw 25%, TransINVEST Vilnius 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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