FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.50/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.39
-1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
13.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.09.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
01.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
29.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
12.03.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus got the better of Dziugas Telsiai 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Dainava Alytus as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.00 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Dziugas Telsiai?

FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 45%, draw 28%, Dziugas Telsiai 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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