Suduva 1-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
3.29
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
27%
-12.4pp
38%
Draw
29%
+8.8pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+3.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.08/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.15
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-1 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
16.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.05.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
15.03.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
02.10.2022 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
07.08.2022 Suduva Suduva 4-1 HT 2-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva edged past FK Panevezys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Suduva and 1.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Suduva 1-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suduva 15%, draw 38%, FK Panevezys 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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