Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2024

Hegelmann Litauen
2-2 HT 0-0
FA Siauliai
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hegelmann Litauen v FA Siauliai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.06
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
28.06.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
12.05.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 2-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
14.03.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
01.10.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
05.08.2022 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and FA Siauliai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.50 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 35%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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