Banga Gargzdai 1-4 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2024

Banga Gargzdai
1-4 HT 1-2
Zalgiris Vilnius
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
50%
Away Win
70%
-20.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Banga Gargzdai v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.57/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.67
-44% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +64%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai HAZ
03.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
11.03.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
17.11.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius swept aside Banga Gargzdai 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 2.50 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Banga Gargzdai 1-4 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 26%, draw 24%, Zalgiris Vilnius 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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