Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-4 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
30.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
11.03.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
17.11.2022 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
06.08.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius cruised past Banga Gargzdai 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zalgiris Vilnius found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Friendlies on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 38%, draw 23%, Banga Gargzdai 39%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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