CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +73%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
27.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
05.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia nicked a narrow win over Arda Kardzhali 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 55% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 45%, shots finished 8-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Friendlies on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 42%, draw 30%, Arda Kardzhali 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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