CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
CON CSA
CA Penarol 0-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football beat CA Penarol 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 59% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 41%, shots finished 11-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?
CA Penarol 0-2 Nacional de Football in the Friendlies on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 53%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 23%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.