Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zalgiris Vilnius v Banga Gargzdai — Team-Based Signals
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Banga Gargzdai
LIT1
1-4
HT 0-1
Zalgiris Vilnius
LITA
0-2
HT 0-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
1-0
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
LITA
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 Banga Gargzdai — Actual Match Statistics
Zalgiris Vilnius and Banga Gargzdai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 58% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 42%, shots finished 15-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.33 for Banga Gargzdai.
What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?
Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 59%, draw 23%, Banga Gargzdai 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No went the other way.