FA Siauliai 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.26
-10% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
24.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
28.06.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
12.05.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 2-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
14.03.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
01.10.2022 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and Hegelmann Litauen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 39% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 61%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.17 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FA Siauliai 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 41%, draw 26%, Hegelmann Litauen 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai)
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