Irapuato 2-2 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.44/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.55
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irapuato
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
2-2
AWAY Cancun FC
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato and Cancun FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irapuato at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Irapuato had 63% of the ball to Cancun FC's 37%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Cancun FC?

Irapuato 2-2 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 47%, draw 22%, Cancun FC 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Irapuato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irapuato) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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