Leones Negros Udeg 1-3 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.39/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.58
-2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
26.01.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
10.11.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
07.11.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.04.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
1-3
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas saw off Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mineros de Zacatecas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leones Negros Udeg had 53% of the ball to Mineros de Zacatecas's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.83 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-3 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 40%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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