Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
2.04/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.54
+31% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
07.11.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 1-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
11.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.04.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
26.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.02.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg got the better of Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.67 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 48%, draw 31%, Mineros de Zacatecas 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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