Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.9pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.04.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
26.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.02.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
01.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros Udeg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.50 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 49%, draw 21%, Leones Negros Udeg 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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