Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.84/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.43
+27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.04.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
26.04.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.02.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
01.03.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.08.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 HT 2-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.00 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 44%, draw 21%, Mineros de Zacatecas 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
11 Aug 2024
04:00 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC Analysis →
05:00 Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Tlaxcala Analysis →