Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.00
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.10.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-5 HT 0-2 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
08.04.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
17.08.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
06.01.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
10.11.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC saw off Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cancun FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.50 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 26%, draw 28%, Cancun FC 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cancun FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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